Про коллапс
Jan. 31st, 2024 09:50 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
arbekaПро коллапс
((Вот, не понимаю я пафос этого тотального обрушения.
А ведь, после 2019, малую часть его мы увидели.
И панику "пандемии". Которая сейчас кажется смешной.
И конфликт вна. Который можно было предотвратить, но с конфликтом показалось интереснее.
И вот, локальные перебранки идут. А всеобщая - тьфу, тьфу - не сглазить, пока не намечается.))
.................
/2019/
"О будущем, предельно кратко и упрощённо. Мы наблюдаем два больших тренда. Первый - на строительство глобальной империи или нескольких региональных империй типа "электронный концлагерь". Второй - на коллапс цивилизации. Первый среднесрочный, примерно до 2050 года, второй долгосрочный, на вторую половину века. (Поэтому я могу рассуждать обо всём этом хладнокровно, без паники. Сам не доживу, а дети повзрослеют). Соответственно, можно вообразить четыре варианта будущего - смотря по тому, как эти тренды наложатся друг на друга:
И+К+: Империя будет, но коллапс её обрушит.
И+К-: Империя будет, и за счёт более высокой управляемости мира сможет предотвратить коллапс.
И-К+: Империя не сложится, коллапс придёт в хаотичный по-прежнему мир.
И-К-: Империи не будет, коллапса по каким-то причинам тоже.
Сценарий И+К+ - наихудший. При империи люди привыкнут к безопасности и тотальной подконтрольности. Коллапс для них будет - как если бы бройлерных кур выпустили на волю в тропический лес. Сценарий постколлапса - массовое вымирание, долгие тёмные века.
https://fortunatus.livejournal.com/263987.html https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2186093.html 2019-04-20 13:48:00
Просмотрено в январе:
2024-01-01 11:14:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2476624.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1981538.html ; 2016-04-08 16:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1982459.html ; 2016-04-18 21:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1983267.html ; 2016-04-24 11:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1984206.html ; 2016-04-30 08:39:00
.........................
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1985248.html ; 2016-05-08 11:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1985886.html ; 2016-05-14 12:39:00
2024-01-04 08:49:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2477551.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1986525.html ; 2016-05-19 19:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1987489.html ; 2016-05-26 15:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1987867.html ; 2016-06-01 18:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1989080.html ; 2016-06-07 16:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1989957.html ; 2016-06-12 12:59:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1990516.html ; 2016-06-16 17:35:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1991630.html ; 2016-06-22 15:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1992848.html ; 2016-06-27 09:26:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1993946.html ; 2016-07-04 11:57:00
2024-01-07 00:03:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2477997.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1994374.html ; 2016-07-09 10:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1995852.html ; 2016-07-19 09:44:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1997174.html ; 2016-07-27 15:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1998541.html ; 2016-08-03 14:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1999544.html ; 2016-08-08 17:01:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2002254.html ; 2016-08-18 08:49:00
2024-01-09 00:05:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2478153.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2003882.html ; 2016-08-23 17:54:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2004704.html ; 2016-08-29 10:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2005714.html ; 2016-09-04 10:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2006541.html ; 2016-09-10 09:34:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2007486.html ; 2016-09-14 10:51:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2008493.html ; 2016-09-18 15:40:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2009334.html ; 2016-09-21 17:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2009725.html ; 2016-10-02 15:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2009909.html ; 2016-10-08 10:17:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2010697.html ; 2016-10-13 09:28:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2011471.html ; 2016-10-18 15:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2012149.html ; 2016-10-23 11:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2012422.html ; 2016-10-27 16:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2014084.html ; 2016-11-02 15:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2015299.html ; 2016-11-08 21:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2016341.html ; 2016-11-14 10:55:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2017632.html ; 2016-11-20 10:38:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2019241.html ; 2016-11-27 13:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2019762.html ; 2016-11-30 20:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2020334.html ; 2016-12-04 12:07:00
2024-01-12 00:09:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2478675.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2021578.html ; 2016-12-10 10:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2022299.html ; 2016-12-15 15:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2023368.html ; 2016-12-20 16:40:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2024036.html ; 2016-12-27 11:39:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2024485.html ; 2016-12-30 21:22:00
......................
.........................
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2025529.html ; 2017-01-04 17:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2026299.html ; 2017-01-09 13:58:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2027308.html ; 2017-01-17 20:37:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2028269.html ; 2017-01-23 16:29:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2028728.html ; 2017-01-29 10:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2029507.html ; 2017-02-05 12:14:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2030181.html ; 2017-02-10 17:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2031650.html ; 2017-02-21 18:17:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2032794.html ; 2017-02-26 10:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2033900.html ; 2017-03-03 13:15:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2037691.html ; 2017-03-15 14:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2038755.html ; 2017-03-20 16:52:00
2024-01-14 08:33:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2479290.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2039409.html ; 2017-03-26 10:49:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2040145.html ; 2017-03-30 11:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2041238.html ; 2017-04-04 11:00:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2041893.html ; 2017-04-09 16:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2042453.html ; 2017-04-14 13:22:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2045217.html ; 2017-04-24 16:55:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2047471.html ; 2017-05-02 15:58:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2048916.html ; 2017-05-08 10:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2051461.html ; 2017-05-18 10:04:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2053520.html ; 2017-05-26 10:17:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2054652.html ; 2017-05-30 17:04:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2054962.html ; 2017-06-02 23:05:00
2024-01-15 09:59:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2479575.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2056190.html ; 2017-06-07 10:49:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2057454.html ; 2017-06-12 10:41:00
2024-01-17 14:33:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2479968.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2058484.html ; 2017-06-17 16:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2059372.html ; 2017-06-24 10:25:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2060183.html ; 2017-06-29 12:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2060719.html ; 2017-07-02 16:56:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2061121.html ; 2017-07-05 09:24:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2062142.html ; 2017-07-09 09:38:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2062359.html ; 2017-07-09 09:39:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2063620.html ; 2017-07-14 11:03:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2064860.html ; 2017-07-18 09:07:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2066256.html ; 2017-07-23 14:59:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2067459.html ; 2017-07-28 10:07:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2069206.html ; 2017-08-04 09:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2070117.html ; 2017-08-08 09:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2071835.html ; 2017-08-15 13:46:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2072616.html ; 2017-08-18 16:28:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2074186.html ; 2017-08-24 09:54:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2075507.html ; 2017-08-29 10:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2076985.html ; 2017-09-05 16:25:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2079205.html ; 2017-09-15 10:38:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2079668.html ; 2017-09-21 16:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2080554.html ; 2017-09-28 10:03:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2081506.html ; 2017-10-03 17:58:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2081925.html ; 2017-10-07 10:23:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2082763.html ; 2017-10-10 18:54:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2083436.html ; 2017-10-13 10:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2084462.html ; 2017-10-17 18:37:00
2024-01-20 00:07:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2480494.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2085584.html ; 2017-10-22 12:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2086158.html ; 2017-10-27 16:27:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2086850.html ; 2017-11-01 19:02:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2087603.html ; 2017-11-06 13:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2088317.html ; 2017-11-09 15:14:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2089025.html ; 2017-11-13 14:49:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2089938.html ; 2017-11-18 12:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2090166.html ; 2017-11-19 19:04:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2090660.html ; 2017-11-23 10:57:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2091388.html ; 2017-11-26 12:48:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2092226.html ; 017-12-01 09:19:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2093158.html ; 2017-12-05 10:40:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2094385.html ; 2017-12-10 12:48:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2094951.html ; 2017-12-14 16:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2095434.html ; 2017-12-17 10:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2096000.html ; 2017-12-19 19:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2096437.html ; 2017-12-22 16:41:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2097418.html ; 2017-12-26 15:37:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2098292.html ; 2017-12-30 09:16:00
..........................
.....................................
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2099650.html ; 2018-01-05 09:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2100171.html ; 2018-01-07 09:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2100534.html ; 2018-01-10 16:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2101334.html ; 2018-01-13 09:54:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2101892.html ; 2018-01-15 17:08:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2102310.html ; 2018-01-17 10:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2103548.html ; 2018-01-22 17:41:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2104500.html ; 2018-01-26 08:44:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2105958.html ; 2018-02-01 08:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2106721.html ; 2018-02-04 08:56:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2107622.html ; 2018-02-07 16:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2108142.html ; 2018-02-12 21:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2108682.html ; 2018-02-15 11:11:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2109665.html ; 2018-02-20 11:08:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2110338.html ; 2018-02-23 09:59:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2111990.html ; 2018-02-28 09:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2112332.html ; 2018-03-02 16:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2112585.html ; 2018-03-03 09:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2113804.html ; 2018-03-08 09:18:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2114773.html ; 2018-03-11 10:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2115358.html ; 2018-03-15 16:55:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2116490.html ; 2018-03-19 18:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2116880.html ; 2018-03-22 13:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2117990.html ; 2018-03-27 16:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2118877.html ; 2018-03-31 12:24:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2120156.html ; 2018-04-06 16:37:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2121006.html ; 2018-04-11 15:56:00
2024-01-24 14:44:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2481540.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2121843.html ; 2018-04-15 13:00:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2122542.html ; 2018-04-19 17:39:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2123114.html ; 2018-04-21 07:56:00 Грабли щелочку найдут
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2123953.html ; 2018-04-24 15:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2124636.html ; 2018-04-28 11:16:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2125075.html ; 2018-05-01 18:16:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2126043.html ; 2018-05-05 11:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2126926.html ; 2018-05-11 13:20:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2128515.html ; 2018-05-17 13:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2131180.html ; 2018-05-30 17:23:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2132276.html ; 2018-06-07 14:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2132976.html ; 2018-06-12 17:19:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2134570.html ; 2018-06-21 10:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2135348.html ; 2018-06-26 10:56:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2136298.html ; 2018-07-02 14:14:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2137013.html ; 2018-07-08 09:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2137545.html ; 2018-07-12 11:26:00
2024-01-26 00:02:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2481749.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2138334.html ; 2018-07-17 13:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2139434.html ; 2018-07-23 14:51:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2140576.html ; 2018-07-31 07:35:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2141349.html ; 2018-08-04 07:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2142130.html ; 2018-08-09 08:08:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2143076.html ; 2018-08-15 12:29:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2144162.html ; 2018-08-21 09:11:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2144989.html ; 2018-08-24 12:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2145808.html ; 2018-08-30 10:33:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2147021.html ; 2018-09-03 16:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2147738.html ; 2018-09-07 08:28:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2148256.html ; 2018-09-10 16:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2149151.html ; 2018-09-15 07:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2150520.html ; 2018-09-20 15:28:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2151750.html ; 2018-09-26 15:17:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2153005.html ; 2018-10-06 08:13:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2154108.html ; 2018-10-11 14:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2155169.html ; 2018-10-16 14:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2155639.html ; 2018-10-18 18:20:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2156465.html ; 2018-10-23 12:59:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2157212.html ; 2018-10-28 09:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2158188.html ; 2018-11-02 17:34:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2159169.html ; 2018-11-08 13:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2159686.html ; 2018-11-11 16:11:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2160227.html ; 2018-11-15 10:58:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2161296.html ; 2018-11-20 09:42:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2162105.html ; 2018-11-25 11:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2162516.html ; 2018-11-28 09:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2163443.html ; 2018-12-02 20:37:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2164171.html ; 2018-12-07 12:40:00 * * *
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2165247.html ; 2018-12-12 11:39:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2165759.html ; 2018-12-14 10:22:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2166444.html ; 2018-12-19 15:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2167406.html ; 2018-12-23 09:27:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2167836.html ; 2018-12-27 09:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2168335.html ; 2018-12-30 08:34:00
...........................................
............................................
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2169362.html ; 2019-01-03 09:22:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2170739.html ; 2019-01-07 10:19:00
2024-01-29 13:32:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2482289.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2170989.html ; 2019-01-09 16:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2171749.html ; 2019-01-15 09:14:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2172221.html ; 2019-01-22 15:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2173010.html ; 2019-01-26 07:40:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2173624.html ; 2019-01-30 12:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2174451.html ; 2019-02-03 09:26:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2174766.html ; 2019-02-07 16:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2175540.html ; 2019-02-13 08:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2176413.html ; 2019-02-19 10:01:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2177135.html ; 2019-02-23 11:15:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2177745.html ; 2019-02-27 11:04:00
2024-01-30 14:27:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2482636.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2178127.html ; 2019-03-02 14:46:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2178850.html ; 2019-03-07 10:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2179860.html ; 2019-03-12 14:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2180808.html ; 2019-03-19 12:27:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2181600.html ; 2019-03-24 10:34:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2182550.html ; 2019-03-29 09:23:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2183060.html ; 2019-04-02 16:11:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2184095.html ; 2019-04-08 16:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2184983.html ; 2019-04-13 12:00:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2186093.html ; 2019-04-20 13:48:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2186967.html ; 2019-04-24 22:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2187878.html ; 2019-04-30 19:00:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2188514.html ; 2019-05-03 09:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2189660.html ; 2019-05-08 08:20:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2190430.html ; 2019-05-11 08:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2191844.html ; 2019-05-16 07:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2192898.html ; 2019-05-21 15:20:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2194122.html ; 2019-05-26 08:25:00
((Вот, не понимаю я пафос этого тотального обрушения.
А ведь, после 2019, малую часть его мы увидели.
И панику "пандемии". Которая сейчас кажется смешной.
И конфликт вна. Который можно было предотвратить, но с конфликтом показалось интереснее.
И вот, локальные перебранки идут. А всеобщая - тьфу, тьфу - не сглазить, пока не намечается.))
.................
/2019/
"О будущем, предельно кратко и упрощённо. Мы наблюдаем два больших тренда. Первый - на строительство глобальной империи или нескольких региональных империй типа "электронный концлагерь". Второй - на коллапс цивилизации. Первый среднесрочный, примерно до 2050 года, второй долгосрочный, на вторую половину века. (Поэтому я могу рассуждать обо всём этом хладнокровно, без паники. Сам не доживу, а дети повзрослеют). Соответственно, можно вообразить четыре варианта будущего - смотря по тому, как эти тренды наложатся друг на друга:
И+К+: Империя будет, но коллапс её обрушит.
И+К-: Империя будет, и за счёт более высокой управляемости мира сможет предотвратить коллапс.
И-К+: Империя не сложится, коллапс придёт в хаотичный по-прежнему мир.
И-К-: Империи не будет, коллапса по каким-то причинам тоже.
Сценарий И+К+ - наихудший. При империи люди привыкнут к безопасности и тотальной подконтрольности. Коллапс для них будет - как если бы бройлерных кур выпустили на волю в тропический лес. Сценарий постколлапса - массовое вымирание, долгие тёмные века.
https://fortunatus.livejournal.com/263987.html https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2186093.html 2019-04-20 13:48:00
Просмотрено в январе:
2024-01-01 11:14:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2476624.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1981538.html ; 2016-04-08 16:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1982459.html ; 2016-04-18 21:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1983267.html ; 2016-04-24 11:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1984206.html ; 2016-04-30 08:39:00
.........................
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1985248.html ; 2016-05-08 11:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1985886.html ; 2016-05-14 12:39:00
2024-01-04 08:49:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2477551.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1986525.html ; 2016-05-19 19:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1987489.html ; 2016-05-26 15:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1987867.html ; 2016-06-01 18:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1989080.html ; 2016-06-07 16:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1989957.html ; 2016-06-12 12:59:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1990516.html ; 2016-06-16 17:35:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1991630.html ; 2016-06-22 15:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1992848.html ; 2016-06-27 09:26:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1993946.html ; 2016-07-04 11:57:00
2024-01-07 00:03:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2477997.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1994374.html ; 2016-07-09 10:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1995852.html ; 2016-07-19 09:44:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1997174.html ; 2016-07-27 15:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1998541.html ; 2016-08-03 14:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/1999544.html ; 2016-08-08 17:01:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2002254.html ; 2016-08-18 08:49:00
2024-01-09 00:05:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2478153.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2003882.html ; 2016-08-23 17:54:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2004704.html ; 2016-08-29 10:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2005714.html ; 2016-09-04 10:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2006541.html ; 2016-09-10 09:34:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2007486.html ; 2016-09-14 10:51:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2008493.html ; 2016-09-18 15:40:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2009334.html ; 2016-09-21 17:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2009725.html ; 2016-10-02 15:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2009909.html ; 2016-10-08 10:17:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2010697.html ; 2016-10-13 09:28:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2011471.html ; 2016-10-18 15:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2012149.html ; 2016-10-23 11:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2012422.html ; 2016-10-27 16:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2014084.html ; 2016-11-02 15:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2015299.html ; 2016-11-08 21:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2016341.html ; 2016-11-14 10:55:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2017632.html ; 2016-11-20 10:38:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2019241.html ; 2016-11-27 13:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2019762.html ; 2016-11-30 20:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2020334.html ; 2016-12-04 12:07:00
2024-01-12 00:09:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2478675.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2021578.html ; 2016-12-10 10:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2022299.html ; 2016-12-15 15:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2023368.html ; 2016-12-20 16:40:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2024036.html ; 2016-12-27 11:39:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2024485.html ; 2016-12-30 21:22:00
......................
.........................
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2025529.html ; 2017-01-04 17:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2026299.html ; 2017-01-09 13:58:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2027308.html ; 2017-01-17 20:37:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2028269.html ; 2017-01-23 16:29:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2028728.html ; 2017-01-29 10:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2029507.html ; 2017-02-05 12:14:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2030181.html ; 2017-02-10 17:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2031650.html ; 2017-02-21 18:17:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2032794.html ; 2017-02-26 10:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2033900.html ; 2017-03-03 13:15:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2037691.html ; 2017-03-15 14:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2038755.html ; 2017-03-20 16:52:00
2024-01-14 08:33:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2479290.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2039409.html ; 2017-03-26 10:49:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2040145.html ; 2017-03-30 11:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2041238.html ; 2017-04-04 11:00:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2041893.html ; 2017-04-09 16:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2042453.html ; 2017-04-14 13:22:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2045217.html ; 2017-04-24 16:55:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2047471.html ; 2017-05-02 15:58:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2048916.html ; 2017-05-08 10:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2051461.html ; 2017-05-18 10:04:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2053520.html ; 2017-05-26 10:17:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2054652.html ; 2017-05-30 17:04:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2054962.html ; 2017-06-02 23:05:00
2024-01-15 09:59:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2479575.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2056190.html ; 2017-06-07 10:49:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2057454.html ; 2017-06-12 10:41:00
2024-01-17 14:33:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2479968.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2058484.html ; 2017-06-17 16:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2059372.html ; 2017-06-24 10:25:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2060183.html ; 2017-06-29 12:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2060719.html ; 2017-07-02 16:56:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2061121.html ; 2017-07-05 09:24:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2062142.html ; 2017-07-09 09:38:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2062359.html ; 2017-07-09 09:39:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2063620.html ; 2017-07-14 11:03:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2064860.html ; 2017-07-18 09:07:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2066256.html ; 2017-07-23 14:59:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2067459.html ; 2017-07-28 10:07:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2069206.html ; 2017-08-04 09:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2070117.html ; 2017-08-08 09:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2071835.html ; 2017-08-15 13:46:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2072616.html ; 2017-08-18 16:28:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2074186.html ; 2017-08-24 09:54:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2075507.html ; 2017-08-29 10:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2076985.html ; 2017-09-05 16:25:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2079205.html ; 2017-09-15 10:38:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2079668.html ; 2017-09-21 16:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2080554.html ; 2017-09-28 10:03:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2081506.html ; 2017-10-03 17:58:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2081925.html ; 2017-10-07 10:23:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2082763.html ; 2017-10-10 18:54:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2083436.html ; 2017-10-13 10:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2084462.html ; 2017-10-17 18:37:00
2024-01-20 00:07:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2480494.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2085584.html ; 2017-10-22 12:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2086158.html ; 2017-10-27 16:27:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2086850.html ; 2017-11-01 19:02:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2087603.html ; 2017-11-06 13:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2088317.html ; 2017-11-09 15:14:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2089025.html ; 2017-11-13 14:49:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2089938.html ; 2017-11-18 12:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2090166.html ; 2017-11-19 19:04:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2090660.html ; 2017-11-23 10:57:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2091388.html ; 2017-11-26 12:48:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2092226.html ; 017-12-01 09:19:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2093158.html ; 2017-12-05 10:40:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2094385.html ; 2017-12-10 12:48:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2094951.html ; 2017-12-14 16:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2095434.html ; 2017-12-17 10:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2096000.html ; 2017-12-19 19:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2096437.html ; 2017-12-22 16:41:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2097418.html ; 2017-12-26 15:37:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2098292.html ; 2017-12-30 09:16:00
..........................
.....................................
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2099650.html ; 2018-01-05 09:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2100171.html ; 2018-01-07 09:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2100534.html ; 2018-01-10 16:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2101334.html ; 2018-01-13 09:54:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2101892.html ; 2018-01-15 17:08:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2102310.html ; 2018-01-17 10:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2103548.html ; 2018-01-22 17:41:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2104500.html ; 2018-01-26 08:44:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2105958.html ; 2018-02-01 08:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2106721.html ; 2018-02-04 08:56:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2107622.html ; 2018-02-07 16:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2108142.html ; 2018-02-12 21:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2108682.html ; 2018-02-15 11:11:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2109665.html ; 2018-02-20 11:08:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2110338.html ; 2018-02-23 09:59:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2111990.html ; 2018-02-28 09:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2112332.html ; 2018-03-02 16:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2112585.html ; 2018-03-03 09:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2113804.html ; 2018-03-08 09:18:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2114773.html ; 2018-03-11 10:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2115358.html ; 2018-03-15 16:55:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2116490.html ; 2018-03-19 18:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2116880.html ; 2018-03-22 13:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2117990.html ; 2018-03-27 16:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2118877.html ; 2018-03-31 12:24:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2120156.html ; 2018-04-06 16:37:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2121006.html ; 2018-04-11 15:56:00
2024-01-24 14:44:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2481540.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2121843.html ; 2018-04-15 13:00:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2122542.html ; 2018-04-19 17:39:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2123114.html ; 2018-04-21 07:56:00 Грабли щелочку найдут
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2123953.html ; 2018-04-24 15:53:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2124636.html ; 2018-04-28 11:16:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2125075.html ; 2018-05-01 18:16:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2126043.html ; 2018-05-05 11:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2126926.html ; 2018-05-11 13:20:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2128515.html ; 2018-05-17 13:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2131180.html ; 2018-05-30 17:23:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2132276.html ; 2018-06-07 14:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2132976.html ; 2018-06-12 17:19:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2134570.html ; 2018-06-21 10:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2135348.html ; 2018-06-26 10:56:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2136298.html ; 2018-07-02 14:14:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2137013.html ; 2018-07-08 09:09:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2137545.html ; 2018-07-12 11:26:00
2024-01-26 00:02:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2481749.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2138334.html ; 2018-07-17 13:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2139434.html ; 2018-07-23 14:51:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2140576.html ; 2018-07-31 07:35:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2141349.html ; 2018-08-04 07:45:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2142130.html ; 2018-08-09 08:08:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2143076.html ; 2018-08-15 12:29:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2144162.html ; 2018-08-21 09:11:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2144989.html ; 2018-08-24 12:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2145808.html ; 2018-08-30 10:33:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2147021.html ; 2018-09-03 16:10:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2147738.html ; 2018-09-07 08:28:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2148256.html ; 2018-09-10 16:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2149151.html ; 2018-09-15 07:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2150520.html ; 2018-09-20 15:28:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2151750.html ; 2018-09-26 15:17:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2153005.html ; 2018-10-06 08:13:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2154108.html ; 2018-10-11 14:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2155169.html ; 2018-10-16 14:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2155639.html ; 2018-10-18 18:20:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2156465.html ; 2018-10-23 12:59:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2157212.html ; 2018-10-28 09:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2158188.html ; 2018-11-02 17:34:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2159169.html ; 2018-11-08 13:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2159686.html ; 2018-11-11 16:11:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2160227.html ; 2018-11-15 10:58:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2161296.html ; 2018-11-20 09:42:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2162105.html ; 2018-11-25 11:31:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2162516.html ; 2018-11-28 09:47:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2163443.html ; 2018-12-02 20:37:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2164171.html ; 2018-12-07 12:40:00 * * *
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2165247.html ; 2018-12-12 11:39:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2165759.html ; 2018-12-14 10:22:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2166444.html ; 2018-12-19 15:52:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2167406.html ; 2018-12-23 09:27:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2167836.html ; 2018-12-27 09:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2168335.html ; 2018-12-30 08:34:00
...........................................
............................................
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2169362.html ; 2019-01-03 09:22:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2170739.html ; 2019-01-07 10:19:00
2024-01-29 13:32:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2482289.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2170989.html ; 2019-01-09 16:05:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2171749.html ; 2019-01-15 09:14:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2172221.html ; 2019-01-22 15:30:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2173010.html ; 2019-01-26 07:40:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2173624.html ; 2019-01-30 12:06:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2174451.html ; 2019-02-03 09:26:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2174766.html ; 2019-02-07 16:50:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2175540.html ; 2019-02-13 08:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2176413.html ; 2019-02-19 10:01:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2177135.html ; 2019-02-23 11:15:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2177745.html ; 2019-02-27 11:04:00
2024-01-30 14:27:00 https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2482636.html
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2178127.html ; 2019-03-02 14:46:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2178850.html ; 2019-03-07 10:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2179860.html ; 2019-03-12 14:36:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2180808.html ; 2019-03-19 12:27:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2181600.html ; 2019-03-24 10:34:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2182550.html ; 2019-03-29 09:23:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2183060.html ; 2019-04-02 16:11:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2184095.html ; 2019-04-08 16:32:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2184983.html ; 2019-04-13 12:00:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2186093.html ; 2019-04-20 13:48:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2186967.html ; 2019-04-24 22:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2187878.html ; 2019-04-30 19:00:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2188514.html ; 2019-05-03 09:12:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2189660.html ; 2019-05-08 08:20:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2190430.html ; 2019-05-11 08:21:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2191844.html ; 2019-05-16 07:43:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2192898.html ; 2019-05-21 15:20:00
https://ivanov-petrov.livejournal.com/2194122.html ; 2019-05-26 08:25:00
